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12-07-2012, 06:43 PM
  #59
ULF_55
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 4evaBlue View Post
Using 5 year contract lengths, we can see that it divides up the player's career into pretty well classifiable segments, where the average $ amount very closely reflects the players' contributions for the duration of the contract.
  • Ages 26-31: player's prime years, fairly steady production can be expected.
  • Ages 32-37: steadily declining performance, much lower $ figure than prime years.
  • Ages 38-40+: twilight years.

The 7 year option to re-sign your own players can be used as a hook to help teams keep their own players by offering more term at similar average $$.

Using an 8 year contract length:
  • Ages 26-34: large amount of variance in player's performance during that stretch.
  • Ages 35-40+: once again, large amount of variance in player's contributions during that stretch.
You realize that no one is making anyone sign long term deals.

The very best players would be looking at 8 year contracts, not 2nd. -> 4th. liners.

Those guys coming off their ELSC will be 21-23, so an 8 year deal takes them to 31. Players are still in their prime at 31.

If Crosby gets an 8 year deal, it would be hard to see someone like Leino getting 6 years.

And as some have pointed out, we're talking a small percentage of players in that level.

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