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12-09-2012, 09:57 AM
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Originally Posted by Canadiens1958 View Post
THH - nice charts but irrelevant to the point you artificially created and are now contesting.

At no point did I mention "drafted" you did.
What better measure is there for judging the efficacy of talent evaluation? Let me know where you want to start instead.

For the time frame under consideration, all of the Vezina, Jennings, AST goalies were drafted. The 1980s era where a Belfour or a Joseph could sneak thru the NHL Entry Draft are long gone.

So the filtering system that is the NHL Entry Draft is fairly efficient.
That's high praise for a system that missed Hiller, Roloson, Backstrom, Bobrovsky, Niemi and Gustavsson. Only a division's worth of NHL starters as of a couple of seasons ago.

In any case, the draft's record makes it quite clear that it's not "easy" to predict goalies' futures based on amateur play, and that was my only point. If it were easy, we wouldn't see #1 overall picks turning out to be average, 7th rounders turning out to be legends and undrafteds having solid careers.

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