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12-10-2012, 04:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Meteor View Post
But 90% of the time the Smythe goes to a player who won the Stanley Cup. Team success is clearly a major factor - do you really think that 90% of the time, the best player of the playoffs was on the winning team?
Going back to Hextall's win in '87, there have been 25 Finals series. Six of them have been sweeps, four have been decided in a fifth game (may as well have been the sweep) and seven were decided in the sixth game (winning team led the series going into the elimination game). So right there you have 17 out of 25 years where the Smythe winner came from the team that would predictably win the playoffs, without needing to wait for a result in the elimination game.

There were 8 series that went the distance, where the vote was theoretically taken with the outcome still up in the air (ignoring the scoreboard after 2 periods).

- In four series ('87, '94, '03 and '11) the Smythe winner was so obvious that the outcome of the final game didn't matter. These were split evenly between winning and losing teams.
- In two years, there were goalies with a good story (Roy and Ward) who had been extremely strong and in both cases had put their teams in a position to win. In both cases they were better candidates than any skater on either team.
- In the other two, there were two extremely strong forward candidates (Richards and Malkin) who were selected before the outcome of a close game. Would they have been controversial if they had lost? Probably. Would anyone really care in the wake of a Cup win? Not really.

When you break it down to the years where the timing of the vote really mattered, we're talking about two minor controversies in 25 years, neither of which would really have been a "wrong" decision. Not a big deal.

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