Lockout IV: One likes to believe in the freedom of hockey (Moderated: see post #2)
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12-11-2012, 05:03 PM
Join Date: Dec 2011
Contraction doesn't solve anything. I'll just post this quote from KevFu that shows that the expansion isn't the problem.
Originally Posted by
I don't understand how someone could possibly think this.
Let's just suppose for a second that every team would make the same amount of revenues they do now if all the new markets since 1991 didn't exist.
Right now, with this 2006-2011 CBA, using 2011 dollars:
You have 12 of 30 teams who can't hit the cap floor by spending exactly 57% of HRR on payroll; 8 who are comfy to the cap, and 10 in the payroll range.
Eliminate SJ, DAL, TB, ANA, COL, NAS, CAR, FLA, CBJ, PHX (That's nine of the bottom 12 teams, plus #17 SJ).
Wild instead of North Stars, Jets 2.0 instead of Jets 1.0; Ottawa instead of Quebec; Hartford removed completely.
The midpoint skyrockets.
9 of 20 teams can't hit the cap floor by spending exactly 57% of HRR on payroll (35% of teams instead of 33%)
4 of 20 can spend to the cap comfortably (same 40% as now)
7 of 20 teams are in the payroll range (20% instead of 27%)
In other words: The financially unstable situation with a large disparity between competent owners and franchises and those on the opposite end IS EXACTLY THE FREAKING SAME.
The only difference is that without the 90s expansion/relocation teams, instead of people saying "Hey, we should move PHX, FLA, CBJ, NASH to Hamilton, Quebec and Markham" it would be OTT, NJ, MIN, EDM, WIN, BUF, STL and NYI (the bottom revenue teams in this 20-team league) in these bad financial situations. They'd be exploring relocation… you know, virtually the exact same teams that explored relocation IN THE 1990s!
MIN moved to DAL, WIN moved to PHX; NJ almost moved to Nashville, EDM almost moved to Houston;
OTT could fill the role of QUE, who moved to COL.
BUF could fill the role of HART, who moved to CAR.
The Islanders would have needed a new arena the entire time; and now they're moving to Brooklyn.
STL had the Saskatoon thing and a bankruptcy saga; OTT and BUF also had bankruptcies in the 90s.
Can we stop scapegoating "Expansion/Southern" teams as a CAUSE for this? The current [foul]ed up system isn't the byproduct of expansion/southern markets. It's a [foul]ed up system. Period. Regardless of who's in the league.
"Itís not as if Donald Fehr was lying to us, several players said. Rather, itís as if he has been economical with information, these players believe, not sharing facts these players consider to be vital."
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