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12-11-2012, 05:15 PM
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Originally Posted by seventieslord View Post
As far as backups getting easier or harder starts from team to team... I can't think of a way to account for that.
To fix the issue of backups who only face weak teams, you could create a "strength of opposition" value based on the goals-for or shooting percentage of the opposing team (not sure which would be better, probably shooting percentage) and use it to weigh each game - in other word's a lot of work.

To deal with the issue of back-to-backs, you would have to look at the average drop in performance in the second game of back to backs.

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