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Originally Posted by Ohio Jones
What this trade has me wondering is whether Aeizona's issues with Bauer are more than just personal. His walk rate seems high to me - maybe they don't see his control improving? Something just smells off, and if it isn't the Diamondbacks' brains (which it could well be), then it's Bauer.
Guess I'm just saying we can't truly judge this trade until we see what these players become... and if Bauer was on the market, as we know he was, then Arizona fielded lots of offers over the winter meetings. The fact they pulled the trigger on this one say ls they weren't getting as good offers as we might have expected - at least, not offers that included a good controllable shortstop.
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I see a pitcher with a great K%, a horrible BB%, and suspect BABIP. He actually outperformed his minor league career in that respect in the majors. Another concerning factor is that his career high as of right now is around 145 IP, meaning that with a 15% increase in innings cap, he could throw 167 next year, 192 the year after and could only possibly hit 200IP in 3 years (which isn't terrible, but low innings means that we don't know how his durability will be).
I also see a ridiculously high number of WP (22 last year). Another really concerning stat is that during his time in the big leagues, he got a puke-worthy 6.5% swinging strikes. To put that in perspective, Romero had 8.3 in his bad year, Drabek's low is 7.6, and even noted strikeout machine Drew Hutchinson had an 8.1. Going forward, this would be the scariest stat for me, because he only throws 92, which means that major league hitters aren't going to have as much trouble as minor leaguers would have. He still kept his K rate up, but hitters chased less, raising his BB rate.