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12-12-2012, 06:57 PM
  #907
dackelljuneaubulis02
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DAChampion View Post
There were no freak injuries last year, it was a comparable amount of injuries to what we suffer every single year except for 2007-08. I'll note that we had no injuries to our number 1 goalie (Price), no injuries to our 1st defensive pairing (Subban+Gorges), no injuries to our two best wingers (Cole, Pacioretty), and no injuries to our best forward and center (Plekanec), or any of our centers actually.

The second factor is that the roster we ended the year with is weaker than the roster we started the year with. We lost Hal Gill, Andrei Kostitsyn, and Michael Cammalleri, and replaced them with Francis Bouillon, Rene Bourque and Brandon Prust. Unlike last year, we wouldn't benefit from a 12th place team in the first 30 or 40 games racking up a safety margin over 15th place. We'd go straight to that 15th place.

The third factor is that the division got stronger. Boston will be about the same, but Ottawa, Toronto, and Buffalo should all improve. Buffalo is adding Cody Hodgson and John Scott (no more Lucic running into Miller), Toronto is rumored to be adding Roberto Luongo, and Ottawa is a young, good team.

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The 2012 draft will help this team, but not in the 2012-2013 season, and probably not in the 2013-2014 season.
You can't ignore that the team was expecting to have Markov. That's why we got rid of Hamrlik and the Wiz. Now that we can (for the most part) expect a healthy Markov it drastically changes the makeup of this team.

Losing Gionta was a huge blow as well. It greatly affected the makeup of our lines.

Cammy was as ineffective as Bourque was plain and simple. There's no guarantee that Bourque will do better than last year but it's a very good chance he will.

Armstrong if healthy is a great third liner. Who can score almost as many goals as AK has in the past few years.

I'm a little leary of analysis that looks at stats of leaving players and says 'where are those goals going to come from?'. It ignores a lot of intangibles that can measure success (albeit speculatively).Having team toughness addressed can bolster point totals IMO. Players play more confident.

You also have to count on our youth improving as well. Eller, PK, Diaz, Emelin, White. Even DD and Patches have a chance at improving as well.

Just to qualify all this, I kind of hope we stink this year to get a top 5 but some posters are a little too confident that that will be the case. Realistically we're a playoff bubble team but with a shortened season every team can be a contender.

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