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12-14-2012, 04:50 AM
Czech Your Math
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These were the weighted average (by PO games) of the player's teams' ESGF/GA "Off" (without player on ice) ratios of some of the players in the study:

Lafleur 1.55
Clarke 1.42
Esposito 1.32
Anderson 1.24
Messier 1.23
Yzerman 1.23
Fedorov 1.21
Trottier 1.18
Sakic 1.18
Bossy 1.17
Kurri 1.16
Br. Hull 1.14
Forsberg 1.13
Orr 1.12
Sundin 1.10
Stastny 1.09
Bure 1.09
Lindros 1.09
Gilmour 1.08
Gretzky 1.08
Hawerchuk 1.05
Selanne 1.04
Crosby 1.04
Ovechkin 1.03
Malkin 1.02
Jagr 1.01
Lemieux 0.99
Thornton 0.98
Dionne 0.87

One can see the prevalence of strong teams for many of the stars during the 70s and/or those we associate with dynasties of sorts. The increased difficulty of making the playoffs over the past ~20 years should mean that the more modern players towards the bottom often were at a disadvantage in the playoffs. This may help explain the lack of dynasties, as the best players are not always on the best teams and the playoffs, and dynasties have mostly disappeared with ever-increasing parity in the league.

The three most underperforming (in adjusted terms, out of 29 calculated) were Selanne, Dionne and Thornton (weaker teams). Lindros was hurt by a high expected PPG, while Lemieux by both weak teams and high expectations.

Players on strong teams (Kurri, Forsberg), with relatively lower expectations (Gilmour, Hawerchuk, Stastny), or both (Anderson, Messier, Fedorov) tended to overperform.

Last edited by Czech Your Math: 12-14-2012 at 04:57 AM.
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