2012-13 Colorado Avalanche Prospects Thread
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12-14-2012, 12:51 PM
Join Date: Feb 2012
Originally Posted by
See, here's the leap of faith that I have difficulty navigating sometimes. A lot of times, young players do improve. No question. However, just because players are 21, does not in and of itself mean that they will improve by age 27, or more to the point, that they will markedly improve. In fact, they may regress. The Avs own recent history shows this.
In early 2006, the Avs had 3 pretty exciting young forwards named Stastny, Wolski, and Svatos - aged 20, 20, and 24 - who were very nicely productive offensive players - Stastny and Wolski were rookies who put up points, and Svatos was coming off a 32 goal season. Those players are now 26, 26, and 30. How many of those three 'got better' between then and now? Not only are none of them 'better', I believe all three regressed between those ages and now, two of them markedly so (yes, I understand Svatos had injuries). If Stastny hasn't regressed, he certainly hasn't gotten much better either. He's simply been the same.
So, just coming to the sweeping conclusion that young players will improve through osmosis leaves a lot of open space for error, IMO.
I really agree with this statement, but I do so from lesson's I have learned on three players I "projected" were just going to get better, and better, being T J Hensick, Kyle Cumiskey & Ryan Stoa.
I used to beat their drum pretty repetitively, until egg was thrown on my face three times, and it made me look non-sensicle.
I also held pretty lofty thought's for Wolski, Svatos & Quincey. I still think Wolski / Quincey will do quite a bit (I'm really in Wolski's corner, and hope he exceeds).
I'm also really worried about Chris Stewart. I hope he rebounds. I hope he doesn't drift out of the game, because when he shows tenacity, he is one of the better finishers in the game today.
But yeah, there are so many players who look like they ooze potential, for one reason or another (see Mueller), get forced to regress game-play wise.
I think (just my opinion) we have needed to draft a few "bigger & attitude" forwards (Landeskog is a FINE start). I think we need more wingers. I think we need a number one D-man still. I think we have one of the best goalie tandems in the league. I think we have at center one of the best "potential" types of groups in the league. I think we have excellent 3rd and 4th line depth players. I think our coach is good. I think our defense is deplorable. I think our ownership is slow, inefficient, and lack communication skills.
RE Pracey: I think drafting could be more role specific, rather than "best player available" as is the strategy I believe is adhered to. Actually, I'm spewing we missed out on Douggie Hamilton. He and Johnson going forward would have been outstanding.
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