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12-21-2012, 11:57 PM
  #208
bsl
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DAChampion View Post
The Habs best odds of a top-5 pick are if a season is played.

Under a 2005 lottery, our odds of a top-5 pick are approximately 10%. If a season is played, it's probably ~50%, but then unlike with a lottery, the odds of drafting outside the top-15 are close to zero.
Thanks for beating me to it. We desperately need the Habs to play.

The only thing that scares me is that Habs go on an insane 10 game win streak out of the gate, and end up 7th. One huge streak in a 48 game season will do that.

I would enjoy the streak of course, but I would not enjoy watching Habs then draft 18th after being bumped in round one.

I think such streaks might be rare though in a shortened season, as all teams, especially the good ones, will be gunning it from day 1.

Therefore we desperately need the Habs to play this year. Assuming the NHL has the same sucky and unfair draft as 2005, the poster you quoted is entirely incorrect in thinking Habs chances of drafting high are better if they do not play.

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