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12-23-2012, 05:45 PM
  #85
f1nn
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saskriders View Post
I did a table with the teams records and points (4 for a win, 3 for an OT win, 2 for a tie, 1 for an OT loss) for the last 2 Olympics (not enough players from 02 and 98 still playing to make them have merit in rankings today)


TeamRecord (W-OTW-T-OTL-L)Points
Finland11-0-0-0-344
Sweden9-0-0-0-336
Slovakia8-1-0-0-435
Canada7-2-0-0-334
Russia7-0-0-1-429
Czech Republic6-1-0-0-627
USA6-0-1-1-423
Switzerland2-2-2-1-419
Belarus1-0-0-1-25
Kazakhstan1-0-0-0-44
Italy0-0-2-0-34
Germany0-0-2-0-74
Latvia0-0-1-1-73

So from this it looks like Finland is the best, with Canada Sweden and Slovakia close for second, and Russia and the Czechs close for fifth.

However, this doesn't tell the whole story. Some teams will get better draws then others, so I made some more data, and have a table that shows what percent of a teams total points came from a game against a big 7 team (ex. team A has 9 points, they went 1-0-0-0-0 against big 7 teams, they get 33.3%)

TeamRecord VS Big 7Record VS Other% of Points From Big 7 Games
Latvia0-0-1-1-60-0-0-0-1100
Russia4-0-0-1-43-0-0-0-058.6
Finland6-0-0-0-35-0-0-0-054.5
Slovakia4-1-0-0-44-0-0-0-054.3
Switzerland2-0-0-1-40-2-2-0-047.4
Sweden4-0-0-0-35-0-0-0-044.4
Czech Republic3-0-0-0-53-1-0-0-144.4
Canada3-1-0-0-24-1-0-0-144.1
USA2-0-0-1-44-0-1-0-039.1
Belarus0-0-0-0-21-0-0-1-00.00
Kazakhstan0-0-0-0-41-0-0-0-00.00
Italy0-0-0-0-30-0-2-0-00.00
Germany0-0-0-0-60-0-2-0-10.00

Now this table looks different, but doesn't make a lot of sense, how can a team with no wins be the best? This table basically just tells us that teams that are higher up have had harder draws (with the exceptions of the very few point statistical anomalies, although 1 game in 2 Olympics against a non big 7 team is rough for Latvia ) This is basically telling us that Russia, Finland and Slovakia have had to work the hardest (of the big 7 teams) for their points.

However this still doesn't tell us the full story. You can't blame a team for getting a lucky draw. So I put together one final table that shows how many of the available points a team received from games against Big 7 opponents. (ex. Team B went 1-0-1-0-1 against Big 7 teams, 12 points were available, and team B got 6. Therefore team B gets a 50%)

TeamPoint % VS Big 7
Finland66.7
Sweden57.1
Canada54.2
Slovakia52.8
Russia47.2
Czech Republic38.5
USA32.1
Switzerland32.1
Latvia9.38
Belarus0.00
Kazakhstan0.00
Italy0.00
Germany0.00

So, Finland, Sweden, Canada, and Slovakia are the only teams to win more points (in big 7 games) then their opponents. Now this table, like the others, doesn't tell the whole story. And stats will never tell the whole story, for example stats couldn't explain Bieksa's series winning goal in the 2011 WCF. However if we look at the tables together then we see: teams overall records, how difficult their draw was, and how well they did against top competition. With that in my I would rank them (part is subjective)

1:Finland
2:Sweden
3:Slovakia
4:Russia
5:Canada
6:Czech Republic
7:USA
8:Switzerland
9:Latvia
10:Belarus
11:Kazakhstan
12:Germany
13:Italy

Not much change from the first chart, except I switched Canada and Russia because Russia had a lot harder competition then Canada. However 2-5 and 9-13 are pretty debatable in my opinion
good post

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