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12-31-2012, 03:48 AM
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Originally Posted by Hardyvan123 View Post
Historically you are right but in the more recent drafts more of the picks are making the league and having a significant impact as well.

Not including foreign players, who have a legitimate alternative to play in, it looks like around 85% of all 1st round position players have or will play over 100 NHL games since the 01 draft.

For what it is worth 9 players, picked after him in the 1st round in 08, so far have played in the NHL with every player picked ahead of him playing in the NHL as well.
Not all first round picks are the same. Kreider was picked 19th, which isn't quite the same as #1 or even a top 10 pick. Yes an NHL team wants and expects an NHL player out of the first round, but if you get a truly elite player after the top 10 then you really did well. To get a solid probable 20 goal scoring winger, in the latter part of the first round is a good pick up.

Just because Kreider wanted to stay in school doesn't mean that the players picked ahead of him who have maybe 4 NHL games like Holland are better than him.

The only players I'd trade Kreider straight up for in that draft are:



de Haan

just because mobile defenseman are very valuable.

For comparison previous #19 picks

Luca Sbisa
Logan McMillan
Mark Mitera
Jakub Kindl
Lauri Korpikovski
Ryan Getzlaf
Jakub Koreis
Shaone Morrisson

Other than the absurdly talented Ryan Getzlaf you have to like Kreider at 19 better than just about anybody else. And this is me assuming that Kreider turns into a 20 goal 30 point player.

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