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01-02-2013, 10:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Kaoz View Post
I completely agree with Seattle. Your reasoning is very very sound, it's prime for an NHL infusion. Quebec as well, there's simply been too much publicity to deny the city a franchise. That and the addition of a team in Quebec makes the NHL more accessible to the Maritimes and Northern Quebec. That last team though...

I guess the question is how does the NHL value new vs. existing fans. A fan who jumps ship from one team to another is a fan already investing money in the game. You'll get new revenue in terms of that teams gate receipts and a potential increase in broadcasting revenues in Canada but you lose out on the opportunity to grow the sport and add completely new fans and potentially gain with the far more lucrative American broadcasting rights. If you add Quebec, that would make two new Canadian franchises since the negotiation of the last deal which might already be enough to set off just such a bidding war.

Then there's a question of funding. I believe a proposal was put forth in Las Vegas that would see any new arena funded by an imposed tax hike on local business within 3 miles of the new location. Tax payer liability is minimal in such an endeavor. Markham's arena proposal is losing some support for just that reason I believe?

The NHL has held on to Phoenix so stubbornly I'd be surprised to see them give up what little ground they've gained now. Support for the NHL team is suffering but support for the actual sport is growing astronomically. I think moving the team will become the only option soon enough (if it isn't already) because of the ownership fiasco's they've suffered, but would be surprised if they moved them right out of the southern states.
I'd actually make the argument that if you were looking to place teams in S. Ontario, Quebec City, and Seattle, that as a league you'd be best off moving the Coyotes to Seattle, because they're established, and have a better chance for immediate success, which when delving into a new market, is probably a good idea. Just have a feeling that S. Ontario and QC would stick with a struggling expansion team a bit longer.

In some ways I think the NHL missed their window with Seattle though. The NBA will be back in short order (which helps fulfill the arena requirement) and Seattle is one of the few American cities with which the MLS franchise can be considered a major team. A team in Seattle is competing with 4 other professional teams (Seahawks, NBA, Mariners, Sounders) plus UW for the entertainment dollar. Not the easiest of propositions if the team struggles at the start (like Columbus, Atlanta did)

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