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01-03-2013, 08:43 AM
  #27
Czech Your Math
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Here are the predicted Y values and the difference between actual & predicted Y values, using the model & coefficients in the previous post.

Act1N = actual average of simple adjusted points of top 1N players in scoring (N= # of teams in league)
Pred1N = predicted value for Act1N based on variables in model
Diff = (Act1N) - (Pred1N); so a positive value means the actual value has higher than predicted
%Diff = % difference in comparison to Act1N

Year Act1N Pred1N Diff %Diff
1968 90.7 91.5 (0.8) -0.9%
1969 99.7 99.4 0.3 0.3%
1970 91.0 91.7 (0.7) -0.8%
1971 95.0 96.9 (1.9) -2.0%
1972 98.8 95.3 3.4 3.5%
1973 92.5 90.7 1.8 1.9%
1974 90.5 91.3 (0.8) -0.9%
1975 92.1 92.3 (0.2) -0.2%
1976 92.6 92.0 0.6 0.6%
1977 87.7 90.5 (2.8) -3.2%
1978 88.2 89.2 (1.0) -1.2%
1979 90.0 88.4 1.6 1.8%
1980 89.3 85.3 4.0 4.5%
1981 86.4 87.8 (1.4) -1.6%
1982 87.7 87.2 0.5 0.6%
1983 84.8 87.6 (2.8) -3.3%
1984 86.3 88.8 (2.5) -2.9%
1985 88.4 87.1 1.2 1.4%
1986 88.1 88.6 (0.5) -0.6%
1987 82.6 85.6 (3.0) -3.6%
1988 89.3 91.3 (2.0) -2.3%
1989 90.6 88.9 1.6 1.8%
1990 88.6 85.6 3.1 3.5%
1991 91.0 89.5 1.5 1.7%
1992 88.2 90.6 (2.4) -2.7%
1993 94.5 93.7 0.8 0.8%
1994 89.2 89.0 0.1 0.2%
1995 91.6 92.1 (0.5) -0.6%
1996 99.9 94.3 5.7 5.7%
1997 91.2 88.1 3.2 3.5%
1998 89.4 90.9 (1.5) -1.7%
1999 93.5 93.4 0.2 0.2%
2000 84.6 88.0 (3.4) -4.0%
2001 93.0 93.7 (0.7) -0.8%
2002 85.2 87.9 (2.8) -3.2%
2003 92.1 91.0 1.2 1.3%
2004 86.1 88.8 (2.7) -3.1%
2006 88.7 91.6 (2.9) -3.2%
2007 92.0 88.0 3.9 4.3%
2008 90.8 87.1 3.7 4.1%
2009 86.6 87.5 (0.9) -1.1%
2010 88.3 88.0 0.3 0.4%
2011 83.5 84.2 (0.7) -0.8%
2012 84.9 84.7 0.2 0.3%


Last edited by Czech Your Math: 02-23-2013 at 05:54 PM.
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