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01-06-2013, 06:32 PM
  #427
Blind Gardien
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Quote:
Originally Posted by overlords View Post
Think Calgary had something like 0.5% chance last year and AFAIK they're using the same weighting system.
25.0%
18.8%
14.2%
10.7%
8.1%
6.2%
4.7%
3.6%
2.7%
1.5%
1.1%
0.8%
0.5%

Those are the odds from 1st to 14th in the previous system. Just multiply by 10 and that's the number of "tickets" each team had in a 14-choose-4 lottery (1001 total combinations). It's a reasonable weighting system, IMHO. Well, it's easy for picking 1-winner. A bit cumbersome if you're going to dynamically pick the entire 1-through-14 order using those weightings and a cute TV-friendly lotto-ball setup, though - you could easily do a computer program that just rejects any multiple picks on a given team's lotto tickets, but that wouldn't be so TV-friendly. Probably they'll re-jig things a little bit if they open up the whole 1-through-14 order, just to make it more amenable to a live drawing setup.

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