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01-09-2013, 03:52 PM
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Originally Posted by Proto View Post
Believe it or not, just running the numbers quickly off the top of my head/from memory, I think there's almost a 20% chance in any given year that a team with one pick in each of the 7 rounds will end up with zero NHL players.

I'm doing that pretty rough, of course, but late 1st round picks are somewhere around 50% success rate (maybe even lower than that?), 2nds are about 25%, and rounds 3-7 work out to about 11-13% on aggregate.

Leaves you between 15-20% of going oh-for-the-draft if you pick late in the 1st.
I don't even care about NHL players, NONE of those players played a single NHL game and as a collective they played maybe 50 AHL games (Ellington and Matson) and barely made an impact.

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