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01-10-2013, 12:33 PM
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Join Date: Jan 2013
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Using Regression to Make Fantasy Picks

With the new season being announced, so too has the fantasy season begun.

I went and found the career stats, broken down by season, for each of the top 150 or so skaters (no goalies). I've been trying to run a regression analysis to figure out which picks will be the best ones.

I've been measuring the players goals, assists and power play points (the only skater stat categories my league measures) against the adjusted stats for each category.

As you can see in the attachment, I've been getting an R^2 value of 0.90 to 0.99. I feel that this is way too high, but it makes sense due to the direct correlation of the raw stat to the adjusted stat.

I am uncertain of if I am measuring the correct variables, and if not, which values I should change.

Attached Files
File Type: xlsx forwardsdefensemen.xlsx‎ (194.1 KB, 55 views)

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