Is there an equivalent of a "Moneyball" for the NHL?
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01-10-2013, 05:08 PM
Join Date: Oct 2011
Originally Posted by
I'm not sure what you're going for here, but baseball circa 1985 had comparable statistical metrics to hockey circa 2013.
Either baseball got more boring since 1985, or hockey's a few decades behind in finding the arbitrage opportunities.
I know which conclusion I'm betting on.
As someone who loves numbers and uses everything he can when it comes to fantasy hockey, I do not think there is an equivalent way to use the moneyball idea and move it into th hockey world.
Baseball for stats are a more indivudually driven stat structure where as hockey has there stats more team or line structured. When a guy is up to bat it his him vs the pitcher, when someone is on the ice, it is not a one to one battle, there are 5 other guys on the ice who are on his team and to achieve the goal it will take joint venture. While there are some stats that can be used such as number of shots or shooting percentage, it would come down to how you view the stats.
Is a shot on goal the same as a hit or is goal the same as a hit?
Some guys get lots of shots on net but do not score becuase they have a week shot and unless you have a greater breakdown of the speed of the shot being taken by each player, it would be difficult to figure out that even though he has a lots of shots, the reason he is not scoring more may not be because the goalies are good, it is that the shots are bad
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