All Encompassing Tanking/Rebuilding/Selling at Deadline Thread 2.0
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01-22-2013, 05:01 AM
P.K. is perfect.
Join Date: Oct 2006
Originally Posted by
Let's debate this,
I listed Beaulieu, Tinordi, Ellis, Galchenyuk, Leblanc, Gallagher, Kristo, Collberg; as our top 8 prospects,
So out of the 3 dmen, Tinordi, Beaulieu, Ellis, all of whom are doing well in the AHL, all of whom will train in the offseason, let us assume that they are all longshots to make the Habs next year, in other words let us assume that each of them has a 33% chance of making the Habs next year. Ergo, what are the odds that at least one of them will be good enough to make the Habs?
69% :-) That's pretty high isn't it? If you are even more skeptical, and assume that each of them only has a 21% chance of making it next year, then we still have a 50% chance of
at least one of them making it
, and that's all we need.
So, for next year:
This assumes that:
- We don't draft Seth Jones
- Bergevin doesn't screw up the Subban situation
- All three of Markov, Kaberle, and Bouillon are gone
Now, I have to admit: that defensive lineup is actually quite bad. However, it's much better if you add Jones, and there's no reason not to get a good UFA rather than a crappy one: if we clear Markov, Kaberle, and Bouillon then that's 11.5 million in cap space.
how does Tinordi at #6 makes us go from lottery team to Bubble team ?
and just so you know, for all of Markov, Bouillon and Kaberle to be gone, you have to trade two - one having a NTC.
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