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01-24-2013, 04:34 AM
  #284
Paul4587
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Ryan Getzlaf View Post
I would never guarantee something like that. It was a contract like Gomez's that started the backloading idea in the first place, because teams knew they couldn't hand out $9 million cap hits to anyone, not if they wanted to be competitive. Brad Richards got $7.8 million when the cap was barely anything, and that didn't lead to teams handing out anything close to the max when the cap went up.

To put it in perspective, 15 players make over $8 million a year(that's salary, not cap hit). 5 of those have legitimate contracts, all of them being basically franchise players, and the others are back-diving. Only 4 guys have cap hits over $8 million, all of them franchise players, and with the exception of Eric Staal, all of them generational talents. Back before the cap ever existed, a guy getting $10 million was a lot more common than you'd think, and even though the salary cap is right around the highest payrolls of the time and the average payroll is way higher, a team still can't give that to a guy. Times have changed, the middle class gets paid more now, and as a result teams can't commit that much of their cap space to one guy, unless he's an exception(and I believe all four of those deals were signed before back-diving contracts became a fad, with Crosby's new one also being a back-diving one). Hell, you look at Hossa a few years back, at no point was he ever getting $9 million a year, whether it be on a back-diving deal or a 1-year one.

With this league, and some of these owners, like Wang in New York, you never do know, but a lot of the evidence indicates that there's a line in the sand, and that line is around $8 million a year as a cap hit. It could be broken eventually, but between it being this year, so close to all the complaining owners did about contracts being crazy, and past cases, I'd say it's a pretty good bet that Perry ain't getting $9 million a year.
I said I'd almost guarantee he gets offered that - not that he'd sign it. Teams get desperate every year on July 1st and pay absurd amounts of money. The cap may be coming down next season but $65M is still a lot more than it was when Gomez and Redden got their ridiculous contracts. There will be a GM out there who offers it and I agree with Ducks DVM who said if it does happen it will likely be on a team with very little talent.

Perry btw has something none of Staal, Hossa or Richards have and that's an MVP title. He may not be on Crosby/Malkin/Stamkos's level but he's right in that next tier of players.

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