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01-28-2013, 08:59 AM
Blind Gardien
nexus of the crisis
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Originally Posted by No Team Needed View Post
Let's compare RFAs with RFAs.

Cam Fowler: Five year, $4M per extension.
Victor Hedman: Five year, $3.5M per extension. FIX: $4M
Luke Schenn: Five year, $3.6M per extension.
Drew Doughty: Eight year, $7M per extension.
Erik Johnson: Four year, $3.75M per extension.

Only one of those players are better than Subban. Guess which.
I would add:

Tyler Myers: 7 years, $5.5M per cap hit
John Carlson: 6 years, $3.967M per

And then the counter-examples:

Dmitri Kulikov: 2 years, $2.5M
Michael Del Zotto: 2 years, $2.55M
Jamie McBain: 2 years, $1.8M
Zach Bogosian: 2 years, $2.5M

Ekman-Larsson and Pietrangelo are going to be significant new entries this summer. In the top list, not the counter-examples list.

In general, I think the Habs are undervaluing Subban's statistical comparables if they are putting him in the second group instead of the top group. There are slightly more examples of the top group... which to me makes sense, teams should *want* to lock up their top young players for as long as possible, and any UFA years they buy at a lower rate while the player is still getting better are going to be a sound investment in the long run. If you can get a guy to sign on the counter-examples list, great for you, but it seems like risky asset management to really go to war pushing your guy onto that list to me. The potential loss (young core player) outweighs the potential gain (couple million dollars on the cap), esp. for a wealthy building team IMHO.

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