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02-04-2013, 11:36 AM
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Originally Posted by Zip15 View Post
Pension Plan Puppets did a nice analysis concerning why it'd be a good idea to throw an offer sheet at O'Reilly. Here are some tidbits (link below):

The chart includes the following: Vincent Lecavalier, Jason Spezza, Joe Thornton, Martin Havlat, Steve Bernier (in 39 games, in the scoring-enhanced 2005-06 season), O'Reilly, Ryan Getzlaf, Alex Tanguay, Wojtek Wolski, and Nathan Horton. Pretty nice list. Throw in his elite defense, and that's a heck of a player. Not exactly "3rd line-esque" as has been suggested by some.

The chart shows only one forward and one defenseman have better possession stats away from O'Reilly than with him.
I'm all for you on the "Let's go after Ryan O'Reilly' bandwagon. He's a great player. And IF HE WERE AVAILABLE, let's pursue a trade. The issue is Colorado is and will be unwilling to move him.

The offersheet route really makes zero sense. Let's say we magically pull it offer, put in an offersheet, Colorado declines to match, we get RoR.

What happens when Cody Hodgson is a RFA this summer. What are his and his agents expectations. 55 pts? Surely Hodgson will score at AT LEAST that pace this year. What about Grigerenko in 2015?

Also, did we mention that its possible we could see the cap drop below 60 million in 2014-2015? If not lower? Look at the contracts the Oilers have given to their OWN PLAYERS since the offersheet debacle in 2007

Hemsky: 5 million
Horcoff: 5.5 million

RoR is a great player. But offersheeting is not the answer. It just isn't. You overpay both in salary and in assets outgoing and you mess up your internal salary structure, which is going to be even MORE important with the drop in cap in 2014

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