The Markov Conundrum
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02-05-2013, 02:44 PM
Join Date: Apr 2005
Originally Posted by
Ignoring contract length for a moment do you think a guy like Markov's trade value would change much over the next couple of years. If he's worth a good prospect + 1st come trade deadline, he's probably worth the same next deadline, and the one after that, etc...
It makes the most sense to wait at least a few years at least so that we get a better sense of Beaulieu & Subban's potential. Plus we could potentially be contenders very quickly if Gally reaches his potential quickly and last year was merely a hiccup. Obviously if someone is willing to overpay then you have to consider it but it's unlikely at this point.
His value will only go down. Consider this. He has 1 more year on his contract as is. That gives the team who want him control (Salary aside). A team whose window of opportunity is closing quickly (ie SJ or Van etc..) could really get a lot of use from a player like Markov. Now, is it possible that Markov turns into Niedermayer and gets better with age? unlikely. He will eventually lose another step, maybe 2. He won't be that 1st line general that he is right now. He will be a 2nd pairing (maybe 3rd) when you move him years from now. IF he stays healthy and IF he produces this season, you will never get as much for him as you would on this trade deadline season. Not to say you won't get good value if you do it next year on his UFA year, but, asking price can be a lot higher when there is 1 year left on a contract after this one.
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