The Markov Conundrum
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02-05-2013, 03:19 PM
Join Date: Jan 2013
Originally Posted by
His value will only go down. Consider this. He has 1 more year on his contract as is. That gives the team who want him control (Salary aside). A team whose window of opportunity is closing quickly (ie SJ or Van etc..) could really get a lot of use from a player like Markov. Now, is it possible that Markov turns into Niedermayer and gets better with age? unlikely. He will eventually lose another step, maybe 2. He won't be that 1st line general that he is right now. He will be a 2nd pairing (maybe 3rd) when you move him years from now. IF he stays healthy and IF he produces this season, you will never get as much for him as you would on this trade deadline season. Not to say you won't get good value if you do it next year on his UFA year, but, asking price can be a lot higher when there is 1 year left on a contract after this one.
A couple of things
With the salary cap going down it's doubtful that the asking price will be higher with 1 year remaining as opposed to being UFA.
It's not just Niedermayer, most D stay good until their late 30s especially those that play an intelligent as opposed to physical game Boyle, Gonchar, Lidstrom, Zubov, Timmonen etc... So it's unlikely there will be a significant dropoff in play from Markov over the next 3-4 years or so assuming he stays healthy.
And lastly it's getting more and more rare that teams give up good young players that have the potential be great for vetrans. Nowadays when you trade a star vetran you will get at most a late 1st, a decent prospect(Equivalent of another late 1st) and some spare parts.
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