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02-07-2013, 06:12 PM
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Originally Posted by slipknottin View Post
I didnt bash Dubinsky, but math would say his issue was different.

Over his career, his shooting percentage was roughly 9%.

In 09/10 and 10/11 his shooting percentage shot up to 12%.

And in his 24 goal season, he had by far the most shots on net he had in his career. Over 200.

If you plug all that in to some mean models, he should average 15-18 goals a year on somewhere around 150-170 shots a season.

Its a totally different thing to be projecting improvement year to year. Regression models dont like to do that.

But regression models work perfect for a guy who really is having an off year, or a couple off games.

I wasn't sure if you were one of them or not, just making a general point about the defense of Nash's lack of goals and the similarity to last year's debate (you haven't been the only one making such arguments. I just quoted you because it was in the thread).

Also, please don't math at me. I'm a grad student in the humanities. You lost me at "percentage" .

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