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02-07-2013, 06:44 PM
  #84
garret9
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Non-#fancystats

Simple, not to telling, but kind of neat:
All I did was look at what players normal career sh% is... then looked at what the players shots/game is... then extrapolated how many goals we should expect approximately by the end of the season.

Kane 14
Ladd 14
Little 13
Jokinen 13
Byfuglien 11
Wheeler 10
Wellwood 8
Antropov 8
Postma 7
Burmistrov 6
Slater 4
Redmond 4
Stuart 4
Poinkarovsky 4
Clitsome 3
Wright 3
Enstrom 2
Hainsey 2
Thorburn 2


Obviously there are some WILD assumptions going on here...
1) no one changing their usage or TOI then currently being used (too late for that)
2) Enstrom not scoring again (lol)
3) No injuries or injured players returning
4) Postma and Redmond retaining their AHL sh% (fat chance)... unlikely because a) less PP time equals lower sh% for D (closer to net + more dangerous shots on PP) and b) stronger (relatively) goalies
5) no 6 goal game for Hainsey (psht)

Not super telling, but I'm interested to see how this will end. It's also a good sign for Little that for the first time in his life he's shooting more!!

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