Using 2002 as a guide for Kostitsyn
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07-08-2006, 08:18 PM
Join Date: Feb 2003
Originally Posted by
Let's have a look at prospects from the 2002 draft:
All enjoyed their first full seasons of 'NHL action in 2005-06, four seasons after being drafted.
all have seen NHL action, but still striving to be regulars.
Not the cream of the crop; too early to give up on them (except Vagner), but they're all question marks to make the NHL.
So - 24 out of 30 players drafted were not NHL regulars in the first three seasons after the 2002 draft. Some of the numbers may be off because of the strike, but it's safe to say few would have been regulars in 2004.
So now we come to the case of a 21-year-old Belarussian who some think should be considered bust material because he wasn't an NHL regular in the first three seasons after his draft. A young man adapting to a new language, North American hockey and culture, a young man two or three years younger than the average age for prospects to crack an NHL lineup on a regular basis, yet he is considered by some to be a bust.
Komisarek didn't becoem a regular until 2005-06, his fifth year after being drafted - Perezhogin still isn't a regular and he is entering his sixth season after being drafted; Hainsey took six seasons to see regualr duty, same with Marcel Hossa.
Patience is a virtue folks.
You're bang on.
I think a lot of people that want us to rush our prospects don't realize what a few years in the minors will do for a prospect. It enables them to work on skills that they would not be working on in the pros. They learn to make that extra move take, that extra look and build a repetoire of skills that in the NHL they wouldn't have time for (faster pace).
That's why guys like Legwand and Steffan get stuck and become predictable and thus defensable. Some guys can make the jump and keep progressing but it's safer to have prospects take their time in the minors.
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