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02-14-2013, 12:25 PM
  #9
SeanCWombBroom
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They lost 116 points. Add up L. Schenn, Feds, Foster, Gervais, Knuble. Take that number (around 40 lost points now). Add growth out of second year players. Subtract overachievers from last year and bring them back down to their mean. Add a healthy Mez (in theory). Expect Bryz to bounce back and tighter defense (-10/15 goals against). Even without a big FA signing the loss doesn't look huge mathematically *depending on the factors you're considering*.

Lost points are a horrible way of looking at team though (I've done it, I'll admit). You had to lose Jagr because of his health. You lost Carle because of bad GMin (or good depending on the opinion) and JVR gave back a return for a glaring need (scratch Pronger and Carle and Mez's health).

That's the better way of looking at it.

You can't say: "I can't lose these points!" because those points come from players in situations (like Jagr's nagging groin). Bigger picture needed.

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