The Out of Town Thread part XLIX All talk from around the league here
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02-15-2013, 01:08 AM
Et le But
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: New York
Originally Posted by
I think Gomez is the classic example. We saw what his play was like and it was no surprise that he wasn't putting up points. But his microstats looked great...
The tail can't wag the dog.
Stats, whether they be goals per game, +/- or fancystats, are only as good as their context.
In 10/11 when Gomez had his corsi and all that flattered him, it does make sense if you look at that context - he was still very good at carrying the puck, and while he could hardly do anything with it, when his line was on the ice the Habs did outplay the opposition. It's hard to argue with that, the only problem corsi doesn't take into account things like quality of shot and what makes a pass effective or not as long as its successful. And while obvious stats like goals scored don't tell the whole story, shouldn't ignore the and only look at corsi and fenwick.
And last year, his microstats were only good if you ignored quality of competition..Gomez was so bad he was playing in ridiculously sheltered minutes, so anything positive he did, it was compared to the likes of 4th liners.
So yeah, you don't have to worry, the sport will never be run by mathematicians with spreadsheets and computers who make every decision on a computer, but when dealing with peoples opinions, which things like scouting are, it makes sense to have evidence to back up your thoughts.
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