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02-20-2013, 02:20 PM
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Originally Posted by Crede777 View Post

You can argue that Howson wasn't good at hiring professionals in terms of coaching, scouting and development.

But you can't argue he was particularly bad at trades or at actually selecting players. The only difference I would have had was that I was much higher on Fowler than Johansen at the time of the draft.

Many people see "top-10" and assume that player should be a Tyler Seguin type. In reality players drafted outside of the top-3 aren't "all that." In fact, after the first 3 you tend to get guys who have "elite skills" but need quite a bit of development or have issues that caused them to drop. Guys like Filatov who are high risk high reward. It's too high of a reward to pass on at #8 but also there is a significant degree of risk involved. Once you get to picks in the mid-teens you can safely select a guy who projects as a 2nd or 3rd liner but is fairly safe in his development.
Yeah, if you're not picking in the top 3, all you can hope for is an NHL regular. And out of the top 10, if you get a 2nd pairing D or a top 6 forward, you got super lucky. Columbus needs to, and has, run it into the ground, go top 3 in the draft for 3 or 4 years and then we're talking.

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