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02-25-2013, 12:47 PM
  #57
DL44
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DL44 View Post
Update on current season...

East
154gms - 13 extra time. 0.522 pt % is average.. (50 pt pace)

West
150gms - 23 extra time. 0.538 pt % is average (52 pt pace)

League wide:
304 gms, 644 pts. 0.530 pt % is average

Overtime rates are down relative to past seasons... VERY down in the East.
Did these numbers wrong.. surprised no one caught it... I forgot to cut the total games in half. So at the time, it should of been:

East
77 gms - 13 extra time. 167 pts handed out. 0.542 pt% - 52 pt pace for the ~mid point (approx playoff spot)

West
75 gms - 23 extra time. 173 pts handed out. 0.577 pt% - 55 pt pace.

So that was back on Feb 7th.



Present update....

East
136 gms - 23 extra pts. 295 pts out. 0.557 pt % - 53 pt pace.

West
132 gms - 39 extra pts. 303 pts out. 0.574 pt % - 55 pt pace.


So a slow regression to the mean.. if we are to consider 560 as the mean.

Overall -
268 gms - 62 xtra pts. 598 pts out = 0.558 as the present average.

(preseason prediction for playoff threshold: 54 pts.. )

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