0.560 is the new 0.500
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02-26-2013, 02:09 AM
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Left Coast
Originally Posted by
i'm interested to see if this works at accurately predicting the playoff threshold. Would be very interesting information down the stretch in future years if you could guess it at the trade deadline.
have you thought about going back looking at past years and coming up with a corrective constant to do this?
I believe i looked into that a yr or 2 ago and found that within 1 place of the median (15-16 being the median) was the 92 pt team (0.560)... i'm fuzzy on it tho.
But historically there are more absolutely horrible teams ina given yr than absolutely dominating ones which ends up boosting the median to be slightly higher than the mean... but not by much.
generally 0.560 is a good prediction as the minimum to be in the playoff hunt in any given yr.
But absolutely speaking.. i don;t recall for sure, and it's late.. maybe i will check tomorrow.
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