HNIC shows new potential alignment with 16 teams in "east" groupings
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02-26-2013, 02:34 PM
Join Date: Jun 2006
Originally Posted by
Eh, well, the 1/3 figure I gave was a simplification of 5/18 which assumes each Wild Card has an equal chance of coming from any of the 4 conferences and no conference can have more than 5 playoff teams. So, it is designed to be a HIGH-end estimate with lots of rounding.
Hmm, I think I also assumed (accidentally) that there wouldn't be exactly 4 teams from each conference... okay, a little less than 1/4.
I don't really have the time/desire to do a more accurate count. Because it is more likely that the final wild-card team comes from a division that hasn't sent one yet, the
figure is likely closer to 1/5
. The fact that the Pacific division is 7 teams while the eastern ones are 8... yeah, don't know how exactly that affects the figure.
Yes, I think that's even more accurate, it's closer to only a 1/5 chance of being part of a crossover matchup.
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