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02-26-2013, 01:50 PM
  #505
anleva
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bonzai12 View Post
I agree, but it's always fun to see how athletic these guys are.

Even worse is National Recruiting Day. Patrick Willis was a 2 star coming into college
Yeah, there are some misses and it's not 100% predictive. But there is strong correlation. Statistically they have shown that a higher percentage of higher ranked high school players achieve success than lower ranked high school players. And statistically the teams with higher ranked classes, especially if you put them together over multiple years, achieve more success than lower teams with lower ranked classes. But there are always outliers but pointing out individual outliers doesn't disprove its usefulness. It's not 100% accurate, but the teams who continue to put together highly ranked classes tend to stay on top.

I've typically seen that offensive lineman are the most difficult to project and where the star rankings are the least predictive. Offensive lineman take a long time to develop and often come from other positions as well, i.e. high school TE's often make great left tackles.

By the way 2 star usually are for players that weren't formally evaluated by an analyst.

For grins, here are the top 25 players for the upcoming draft and their Rivals recruiting rankings coming out of high school.

Luke Joeckel - 4 star
Bjoern Werner - 3 star
Chance Warmack - 3 star
Geno Smith - 4 star
Star Lotulelei - 3 star
Damontre Moore - 3 star
Eric Fisher - 2 star
Dee Milliner - 5 star
Jarvis Jones - 4 star
Dion Jordan - 4 star
Barkevious Mingo - 4 star
Sheldon Richardson - 5 star
Cordarrelle Patterson - 4 star
Sharrif Floyd - 5 star
Arthur Brown - 5 star
Damontre Moore - 3 star
Johnathon Hankins - 3 star
Dion Jordan - 4 star
DeAndre Hopkins - 4 star
Kenny Vaccaro - 4 star
Eric Reid - 4 star
Manti Te'o - 5 star
Jonathan Cooper - 3 star
Keenan Allen - 5 star
Xavier Rhodes - 3 star


Last edited by anleva: 02-26-2013 at 01:55 PM.
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