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02-26-2013, 03:06 PM
  #184
416Leafer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stoff View Post
Finally someone answering the question instead of comparing past first overall picks, complaining about defensive play, and all the other rhetoric.

The answer simply is this. 90% of educated hockey people would give this answer.
Probably half of all drafts or more, the #1 pick doesn't end up being the best player out of the draft. Even in some of the drafts where they hit what was considered to be their "ceiling".

Scouts try to "project" a prospects ceiling at the draft, but they are regularly wrong. I'm not talking about a player not hitting their ceiling either, more that they undervalue other prospects.

Clearly when you have late round picks turn into Datsyuk, Lidstrom, Rinne, etc. There are late round picks whose ceiling IS that of a league-wide top top player, and the scouts/analysts/hockey fans prior to the draft were simply wrong.

So to say Yakupov definitely has the highest ceiling is false, because we simply do not know what the ceilings are for most players.

If the statement is that Yakupov projects to have the highest ceiling, that's a completely different statement.

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