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03-07-2013, 03:01 PM
  #163
Mathletic
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeri View Post
Oh definitely, it is near impossible to come up with, because there is such a limited number of variables in baseball compared to hockey, but even a flawed statistic such as WAR (although still useful) would be a decent all encompassing indicator.

How exactly is "momentum" a myth? It's one of those more intangible "forces" wouldn't you say? A fight or two quick goals have the effect of getting a team pumped the same way a diving catch or a 2 out steal of 3rd base would have in a baseball game?
there have been studies on fights. I know one guy looked for the rate of shots after a fight. Another looked for goal scoring rate vs expected goal scoring rate. Neither could find momentum effect due to a fight. Sure, there's times when a team scores after a fight. But it doesn't happen more often than when there's no fight.

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