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03-13-2013, 11:25 AM
Ground Beef Invictus
Join Date: Dec 2009
Originally Posted by
Just running some quick numbers, if hockey-related-revenue continues to grow at a conservative 5%, the cap could see a pretty big bump for 2014-2015
HRR for 2011-2012 was roughly 3.3B. That means HRR for 2012-2013 should be ~3.465B (it won't be this large because of the shortened season, but still that should be the projection). And then for the full 2013-2014 season, HRR should be ~3.638B
Assuming player benefits grow by the same 5% per year from roughly 90M in 2011-2012, benefits in 2014-2015 will be ~99.225M
That means the midpoint is:
(50%*3.638B) minus 99.225M
---------------------------------- = 57.33M
30 NHL teams
Then you have to adjust the midpoint upwards by the 5% escalator: 57.33M*1.05 = ~60.20M
Then to get the cap ceiling you have to increase this by 15%: 60.20M*1.15 = ~69.22M
That would be roughly a $5M increase from 13-14 to 14-15, which is right in line with some of the bigger salary cap increases under the old CBA. After that one year jump though, salary cap growth would slow down a bit, w/ a projected 15-16 cap of only 72.7M, a 3.5M increase over 14-15.
I sure hope the cap floor is lower than before, and qualifying for revenue sharing is easier...otherwise the lockout was a waste of time.
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