Are playoffs still makeable?
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03-15-2013, 12:50 PM
Still burning Lowood
Join Date: Feb 2005
Originally Posted by
It might seem a little early to think about the playoff picture, but it is what it is.
Looking at the odds :
The worst that the Oilers can do, and still have a legit chance of making the playoffs, is if they go 13-7-2 over the next 22 games. That record gives them 2 out of 3 chance to make the playoffs. If they get 1 point less say 12-7-3 they drop 30 percentage points down to 33%. The dividing line is 28 pts over 22 games versus 27 pts. 14-8-0 gets it done as well, but also just barely. With 28 pts it's still not guaranteed.
With all the games being conference games, I think it's legit to call them must-win from here on out. If you figure on St. Louis ( 2 games ) Vancouver ( 3 games ) Anaheim ( 3 games ) we probably have to win 3-4 of these 8 to have a chance. That means for the remaining 14 games, we'd have to do something close to 11-3.
Hate to be a downer this early in the morning, but it don't look promising.
the odds were 18% that we win the lottery and we did that so im not too concerned with odds.
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