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03-19-2013, 10:57 PM
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Originally Posted by GKJ View Post
It's probably about the same as the Wild starting the way they did last year. There could be enough time for regression to play out. There may not be. It's not an excuse, it's math. Few people are predicting when it will happen, just that it will. Same thing's going to happen to Chicago.
That's where you're wrong. It's not math. It's hockey.

You can model the game as well as you want, but that doesn't change the fact that it's a game. In every regression model, there is a a random error component. This random error is where the assumptions come into play. Even the math gurus who attempt to model the NHL using statistics admit that the random error is pretty significant.

Also, you didn't answer my question. The Wild at this point had SIGNIFICANTLY less points than the Ducks do.

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