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03-22-2013, 12:14 AM
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Originally Posted by Ohashi_Jouzu View Post
They just showed the top 10 faceoff leaders graphic during the Coyotes/Canucks game, and I believe not a single guy on the list (all regulars, led by Patrice Bergeron at 62.1% after 600 draws) was under 55%. In fact, of the 29 centres who have already taken more than 500 draws this season (Zack Smith is #30 with 488 draws), only half (well, 14) of them are under 52%. It's a totally legit stat to focus on for a centre, and I believe teams track it broken down by offensive/neutral/defensive zone on top of NHL's home/away breakdown for even further good reason.
At 500 faceoffs, 1 center in 6 will exceed his natural performance by 2.2%, and 1 in 40 by 4.5%.

Break it down into zones and your statistical noise goes up by ~1.7, because the sample drops by ~3 for each zone. Home and away means another 42% increase in noise.

I am not sayibgvthat there are no good faceoffs guys, i am saying that the differences are small, and among Habs centers, negligible.

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