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03-24-2013, 10:52 AM
  #201
BigFatCat999
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Join Date: Apr 2007
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What the what?

OK 2 games ago the Preds were looking like a solid contender for top 5.

Now....


54 pts is a solid lock for the playoffs (90% or more chance of playoffs)

52 pts is a 50/50 chance for the playoffs.

50 pts seems to be the point of mediocrity because this is where the Preds only have about a 10% chance of making the playoffs. The bell curve of the season is so damned tight.

44 pts is the point where the Preds still have a chance for a top 5 pick.

To me the A and A+ talents are in the top 9 picks and the tragic number for THAT is 48 pts

The range the Preds need to avoid is 49-52 points. Very tight curve. Very tight and with the fact that ALL the game are against the west, even tighter.

Looking at the next 6 games the Preds could win 5 of them easy. If the Preds can find a way to get 2 of 3 from Chicago, they are a playoff team.

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