Thread: Eberle and RNH
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03-24-2013, 10:00 PM
The Perfect Human*
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Edmonton
Country: Canada
Posts: 7,943
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Originally Posted by jbean View Post
You honestly believe Eberle has peaked at 74 points? What did Patrick Sharp do from age 22 when he was scoring at a roughly 0.5 PPG pace in the AHL and then at the age of 26 scored 36 goals in the NHL? Sure he was a late bloomer, but why is Eberle "figured out" and unable to improve? Your example of a great dynamic player in Datsyuk is a guy who was sheltered by one of the best teams of all time and was much older than Eberle before he had success. Why were these players able to improve but Eberle peaked at age 21? How many players in NHL history had their best season at age 21? Isn't there also a chance that Eberle will be the kind of player that improves with time? Many of the best in the game are 28-32 years old and Eberle is ages way from that stage of his career.

edit: Also Hemsky put up his most amount of points at age 22 but you are wrong if you think that is when he peaked. In 2009-2010 and 2010-2011 he was at his peak but was devastated by injuries and only got to play 69 games over that span. Who knows what kind of player he could've been if he didn't have such awful set backs with his health. He was playing his best hockey at roughly ages 26-27 like most players. Your argument that Eberle has little room to improve doesn't convince me much at all, especially given how terrible the Oilers have been this year.
Hemsky (22) - 77pts
Ovechkin (22) - 65g, 112p
E.Staal (21) - 45g, 100p
Backstrom (22) - 33g, 101p

Just some examples.

The possibility totally exists for Eberle to get better - it's inevitable that he does. But when I say that I mean his defensive game, etc. Basically stuff that's tangible to the eyes, but not necessarily numbers.

I don't think he has much "growth" to gain physically. Unlike Gagner, he never was too slow/weak as a 20-21 year old. His body hasn't really changed over the past couple years, nor does it really have to. Gagner, on the other hand, has gotten much stronger/quicker, which was necessary given that he was essentially a pre-pubescent player for the first 5 years of his career.

The Gagner we're seeing now and the Eberle we're seeing now are likely the same players we're going to see over the next 10 years. Not too bad of a thing when they're near-point/game players. Just sucks when you're committing $6M+ to them long-term.

I don't think Eberle will get another chance to produce ridiculous numbers offensively unless this team becomes a reckless run-and-gun team again.

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