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03-25-2013, 02:18 PM
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Originally Posted by DJOpus View Post
Also, you can't argue with empirical evidence, apparently no coach tenured as long as AV has ever won the Cup for the first time with his team...I don't pretend to know why, but why fight empirical evidence when there are great alternatives available.
I don't intend to pick on you, since lots of people have been citing the above claim, but without any context I think this falls way short of being persuasive empirical evidence. Here's what I would want to know before leaning too much on that claim.

(1) Sample size: how many coaches have coached into their 7th season with a team, without having won a cup in seasons 1-6? How many total seasons beyond their 6th have been coached by coaches in that situation?

(2) Comparison group: For each coach who coached a team 7+ years without winning a cup, how did their immediate successors do? How many seasons did they last as coach and how many total cups were won? Do any of those situations look at all comparable to the Canucks' situation?

Can anyone compile this info, or have it already at hand?

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