Doug Weight #39
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03-26-2013, 07:52 AM
Join Date: Aug 2005
Originally Posted by
Extremely doubtful. I think posters prospect love is clouding any possible "realistic" vision of the future.
To put Doug Weight's numbers into perspective, he scored 1033 pts in 1238 games. There are only 67 NHL players in history who have ever scored more. Think about that. The next closest active player is Ray Whitney who is at 1015 pts and you know how long Whitney has been playing? Jason Arnott who was a first line centre for most of his career will finish (unless he returns to the NHL) at 938 pts. Marian Hossa and Elias are next at 927 and 923 pts respectively. Still more than 100 pts away.
Taylor Hall has scored 121 pts in 153 games. Assuming he scores at a 1.0 ppg for the rest of his career, he needs to score 912 pts in 912 games. He will reach it in twelve MORE seasons. He will be 33 years old by then, and he has to avoid injuries, and any dip in production. Extremely doubtful considering Hall's injury history.
Sam Gagner? Surely you must be joking. Sam is a career 0.62 ppg. He is currently at 248 pts, and only 785 pts to go. At his current pace, he will reach 1033 pts... in 16 more seasons. Good luck with that.
Justin Schultz? Paajarvi? Oh Come on now, they're simply not a ppg players.
Perhaps I wasn't as clear as I should have been. I used the point total comparison only to show where those players are at in comparison to Weight at the same age. Point totals are an easy statistic to grab.
What I meant was that some of those players (RNH, Hall, Eberle, Yakupov, and Schultz) are quite likely going to be better NHL players than Doug Weight. Personally, I think Weight should have retired five years before he did; he was injured a lot in that time span.
So to clarify, no, I do not think that all those players are going to play 19 years in the league (some of them could I suppose), but I do think that a number of them will be superior players to Doug Weight.
I think that Gagner is probably the best comparison to Doug Weight on the team, but I don't think in the long run that Gagner is going to be as good as Hall, RNH, Eberle, or Yakupov. They are a more elite class of player imo. The jury is out more on Paajarvi as to where he will finally plateau; he seems to have turned the corner a little. And, comparing points between Schultz and Weight doesn't even make a whole lot of sense, as they play quite different positions.
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