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03-28-2013, 07:12 AM
  #955
Broad Street Elite
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Synthetic View Post
I am now convinced 2nd overall will get us Jones. Calgary will pick Nurse with the #1.
The problem is this. The team finishing 30th is going to lose the lottery 75% of the time. That makes finishing with the 2nd pick even longer odds than the 1st overall imo as we have somewhere between a 6-18% chance of being awarded that outright, whereas getting number 2 would require us to finish with the second worst record AND have the worst team actually win the lottery.

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