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03-28-2013, 10:53 AM
  #5
Mayor Bee
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taco MacArthur View Post
I'll check it out - thanks!

In the long run, including empty-net goals would increase each team's shooting percentage (duh). If I normalize these to average, then it would disproportionally benefit teams with more empty-net goals (also duh).

That would lead to a slight overvaluing of good teams, which if I'm attempting to capture a measure of opposing offensive quality, isn't necessarily a horrible outcome.
We'll end up using the same information for different purposes. I'm in the process of not only trying to prepare this year's magic numbers thread, but also of fine-tuning a Pythagorean formula for the NHL. It's been a significant challenge with the shootout and the so-called "loser point", but I think I'm getting close.

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