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03-30-2013, 02:00 PM
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Originally Posted by YotesFan19 View Post
If, over 20 games, a team is averaging a PDO of 1030, is that team's PDO in its next game more likely to be closer to 1000 or 1030?

Edit: I'm not really sure how to explain my question, so if you want me to elaborate further, I can try.
It all depends on what the team's true talent PDO number is - that will inform your predication about what to expect from the team going forward.

If the only information available was that the team had posted a PDO number of 1030 over 20 games, a reasonable person would assume that the team had a true talent PDO number of ~1005.

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