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03-31-2013, 03:45 PM
  #430
PocketNines
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Crested Butte, CO
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Current West Standings (after CHI-DET Sunday but before other games)

1. CHI +21
2. ANA +16
3. MIN +10
4. VAN +9
5. LA +7
6. SJ +6
7. DET +4
8. STL +3
9. DAL +2
10. EDM +1
11. NSH 0, 12row
12. CBJ 0, 10row
13. PHX -1
14. CGY -3
15. COL -6

At the end of the 48-game schedule, 54 points, or +6, is the equivalent to 92 in a normal year. 92 is the league average since the lockout. What usually happens toward the end of a season is some teams on the cusp uptick their winrate. Right now, the pace to get in the playoffs is the Blues' pace, which is ~ +4.3. However, given the uptick, it's probably going to take +6 to get in, maybe even +7. Of course, it could stay pretty flat and a +4 gets in, but I'd feel safest aiming for +6 or better.

That means the Blues need to put in a +3 over their final 15 games to ensure their date with Chicago or Anaheim. Those are records of 9-6-0, 8-5-2 or 7-4-3. Or better.

If it makes anyone feel better, a team like Edmonton would have to put in a +5 with 14 games to play to get to that threshold, things like 9-4-1 or 8-3-3. Nashville and CBJ have 13 games left and need a +6. So 9-3-1 or 8-2-3 for those teams.

Dallas is really the main threat. They host the Kings tonight.


Last edited by PocketNines: 03-31-2013 at 03:51 PM.
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