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03-31-2013, 10:23 PM
  #1
stratedge
Rebuild, year 4...
 
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Calgary, AB
Country: Canada
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Faint Glimmer of Hope: tracking the quest for 8th place

The purpose of the thread is for [mathematically] honest discussion of the Oiler's playoff hopes. Tracking results from the other games that matter and keeping tabs on where they could finish and how likely that is.

I will update this table each night with this re-ranking of the teams by their P% / maximum obtainable points, which many will agree is a better picture of where a team really stands in the playoff hunt. Nobody can afford losses; a game won holds your position, a game lost even with a loser point and you probably fall down the ladder.


Last updated April 7 (morning), removed all the now mostly uncatchable teams (St. Louis, L.A., Minnesota):
RankTeamGRWLOTPointsMax Points
711211424466
89191554361
910171564060
1010161573959
1110161573959
1211171733759

Oilers current odds: 14.7% (as of Apr 7) according to Sports Club Stats. Please note that this calculation is simulation based, not mathematically based.


Thanks Del Preston for the following:
Rk PtsROW3839404142434445464748H-A
44721- - - -@ANA@DALCOLANA@SJCBJDAL@MIN@DETSJ5-5
54714- - - -@CBJ@DET@DAL@PHXLAMINCBJDAL@PHX@LA4-6
64618- - - -CHISTLCBJ@CGY@EDM@SJCGYLAEDM@COL5-5
74418@NSH@MIN@CBJCHIVANPHXDAL@COLCOLCGYCHI7-4
84317- - - - - - - -SJ@CHI@NSH@CGY@VANPHXLANSH@DAL4-5
                
94014- - - -@VAN@EDM@CGYSJ@STL@CHI@DETSJCOL@ANA3-7
103916- - - -LA@NSHSJ@CHIVAN@STL@LA@SJCBJDET5-5
113914- - - -@ANAPHXCGYMIN@COLANAANACHI@MINVAN7-3
123912- - - -- - - -SJSTL@MIN@COL@ANA@LA@SJ@DALNSH3-6
133813- - - -- - - -- - - -STLDALDETVAN@CHICGY@DET@CBJ5-3


Last edited by stratedge: 04-07-2013 at 10:04 PM.
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