Official magic number thread
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04-02-2013, 12:19 PM
Join Date: Feb 2013
Originally Posted by
That means that
the Habs need 11pts to officially make the playoffs
Well, again, this is waaaaayyyy too much of a 'worst-case scenario' to be even remotely realistic. 2 or 3 wins and we're in with a 99.99999% probability, which is usually more than enough.
The concept of the magic number is much more suited for teams in positions 6-12 when there's between 5 and 10 games left. In that case you can really assume that your magic number is actually required to make the playoffs.
Of course, the habs have been in that situation for more than a decade, so we've developed this habit of calculating magic numbers. But this year??
2nd place team at the 3/4 mark --> don't waste your time calculating, this team is in.
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